The start of Global Cooling



More evidence, more thoughts on Global Cooling



The graph below, from NOAA Climate.gov, confirms what I said in my previous article on the coming of global cooling – Global Cooling will start next Spring?
i.e. El Niño causes temperature peaks (red bars).

NOAA chart on Niño-Niña flavored months
Source: How will El Niño affect 2015’s placement among the warmest years on record?



On the above chart we can see clearly the plateau in global temperatures from 1998 todate, even though the dataset used by this US government agency is not wholly reliable, is subject to manipulations, and generally shows more warming than actually occurred – whereas the first graph from our previous article is based on satellite data.


In a release from University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), we read: “early indications are that 2015 will end as the third warmest year in the satellite temperature record, behind 1998 and 2010. That is the early indication. Typically, the warmest temperatures are seen in the second year of an El Niño warming event, although there have been exceptions. If the typical pattern holds true, the second year of the current El Niño would be expected to bring more record high temperatures in 2016, perhaps including a new record high temperature for the year.”
Source: Satellite data shows globe will stay below 1.5°C target
Also reported by Warming under UN target


Thus, “if the typical pattern holds true”, Global Cooling would start in 2017, not in 2016 as predicted in my article. So, we’ll just have to wait and see…



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Democracy to die next month at COP21 ?


Global Cooling to start next Spring?


Suspected of dishonest manipulations to show continued warming, the US Administration refuses to provide its raw data to the US Congress.  “NOAA Attempts To Hide The Pause In Global Warming: The Most Disgraceful Cover-Up Since Climategate – by James Delingpole” – see:  Breitbart, Oct. 29th

With COP21 to take place at the end of this month, dirty tricks were to be expected – in addition to the usual bad science and cooked figures on climate. How can we tell the truth, you ask, from doctored graphs and misleading articles? The answer is: Internet. When 99% of the media take their cues from the Climate Change Coalition (CCC), it is necessary to look elsewhere for honest information. We reproduce below a chart from the website of Dr Roy Spencer, one of the world’s leading climate scientists, who remains independent from the CCC. It’s a graph obtained from the satellite temperature dataset of the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), a world-renowned source of climate data. Luckily for us – “we, the people” – the CCC does not control all of the datasets, yet.

2015 10 - UAH_LT_1979_thru_October_2015_v6
Click on the image to enlarge.
Source: Dr Roy Spencer, University of Alabama

It is clear from this chart that the warming has reached a plateau after 1998. This happened in spite of massive increases in man-produced CO2 in China, India, Brazil etc. Let’s note as well that, in 2015, temperature is on the rise.

On the other graph below, about the Arctic and Antarctic, we note that in the years 2013 and 2014, global sea ice was back to its average level of the past three decades (red line, comparing to average 1979-2008). Here again, it is apparent that world temperatures had stopped rising, and were even starting to recede. In 2015, however, the chart shows that sea ice has been shrinking again:

global_daily_ice_area_withtrend Oct 2015Click on the image to enlarge.
Source:  data provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

This increased warmth in 2015 is due to El Niño, which made a strong comeback this year. According to the specialists, NOAA, it is expected to last into Spring 2016: ENSO prediction – Climate Prediction Center – NOAA

This leads many climate scientists to believe that, with El Niño out of the way in early 2016, Global Cooling will start to be felt soon thereafter. In fact, cooling may be happening already, but its effects are masked by El Niño on much of the globe.

It must be noted that solar radiation, as measured by sunspots, is weaker than it has been in the past 100 years. It has returned to the low levels of the early XXth century, when temperatures were about 1ºC lower than today. To see the evolution of solar radiation over 4 centuries, see the graph below (not updated since July 2006):

400 years of sunspot observations
Click on the image to enlarge.
Source: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sunspot_Numbers.png

If we are correct to assume (with Svensmark and many other climate scientists) that the sun, not CO2, is the main driver of climate, then we are most probably about to return to 1900 temperature levels, about 1ºC lower than today.

Since the above graph was published (2006), solar activity has been weaker, continuing the downward trend shown about year 2000. Here is what the present 11-year cycle looks like (solar cycle 24):

2015 10 solar cycle 24 sunspot number
Source: Space weather prediction center – NOAA

The chart clearly shows that:
– Cycle 24, to the right of the graph, is about half as strong as Cycle 23, to the left, i.e. fewer sunspots, lesser radiation emitted by the sun.
– Cycle 24 has peaked, and we are now in its descending, cooler phase.

How long this new period of Global Cooling would last is anyone’s guess: a decade or two, a century or two, or 100,000 years if it worsens and turns into a new Ice Age – God forbid. Obama, Merkel, and the whole CCC are probably aware of this, but they will continue to act as if Global Warming were the threat. They are not about to admit they were wrong, 30 days before securing a deal in Paris that will mean the loss of sovereignty for western democraties. Global governance is the name of the game, with a transfer of power from we, the people, to the UN and the CCC. From thereon in, many predict a bureaucratic tyranny will gradually take away our freedoms.

Ronald Reagan had warned about it: Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction.”

Lord Christopher Monckton, who was policy advisor to Margaret Thatcher, has been trying to warn us over and over again. Here is an amazing video, where he correctly predicted in 2014 that Abbott (Australia) and Harper (Canada) would be removed from office, to pave the way for Global Governance (read: “green” tyranny): Our last year of freedom?

Will we bid farewell to Liberty in December, at COP21? China and other BRICS countries may sign with their fingers crossed behind their backs, or not sign at all, but western countries, led by the CCC, are poised to sign away their sovereignty with the will to surrender it for good. Thereafter, the threat of economic sanctions by other countries will keep governments in line. There will be no way out, as warned by Monckton. It would be a check mate situation.

Helena Greenberg
helena.greenberg33@hotmail.com



Global cooling confirmed


Global COOLING confirmed

Principia Scientific just published an important article by Dr Sierra Rayne:
GLOBAL COOLING UNDERWAY

Indeed, the cooling is already being felt by people in Europe and the United States

April 5th, I published an official graph from NOAA showing a clear cooling trend in February average temperatures around the world: 
THE GLOBAL WARMING FLAPDOODLE

2014 02  NOAA temperature anomalies graph



May 14th, Principia Scientific published another NOAA graph showing a clear cooling trend for the three month period January to March. This is more significant still. Here it is:

2014 05 2014 NOAA global cooling graph



This goes to show that:

– climate modelling failed,

– the IPCC reports are unreliable,

– CO2 is not a significant driver of climate,

– all the hoopla, all the propaganda, and the trillion dollars spent to curb CO2 emissions have been wasted.

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The global warming flapdoodle …


and the global COOLING evidence

Global warming has been the cry of government climate scientists since the 1980’s. But actual government data proves global cooling has taken over from warming during this century, as per the official U.S. satellite records (see graph).

2014 02  NOAA temperature anomalies graph
Global land and ocean temperature anomalies as at February 2014
Anomalies are with respect to the 20th century average
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/global

  
What’s interesting about this graph? Well, first we see that, since 1977, the world temperature has been consistently hotter than the 20th century average. But if we look more closely, we can see that the heat has been abating since 1998.

This data has been collected by NCDC (National Climatic Data Center) which is part of NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration), a scientific agency of the US Administration. NOAA is an international leader for temperature data. The two others are NASA’s GISS in the US, and the UK’s University of East Anglia’s CRU (Climate Research Unit), working jointly with the Hadley Center (of the Met Office).

The GISS webpage cannot be accessed presently at: http://www.data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp, but HAD-CRUT did publish their graphs for February, which confirm the new cooling trend: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/HadCRUT4.pdf

Government-financed scientists, who collect and interpret the data, have in the past done their best to “hide the decline” (Climategate). Today, unfortunately, climate science continues to be corrupted by billions of dollars of government money. NOAA are arguably less corrupt than the other two, but they are still very much so in the way they present things. On their webpage below we can read: “Arctic winter sea ice extent is 5th smallest since 1979”. It would have been more objective to say: “… is larger than in 2012, and the 5th smallest since 1979”.

NOAA arctic sea ice winter 2013 5th smallest on record
NOAA: “Arctic winter sea ice extent is 5th smallest since 1979”



The following title, on the other hand, was objective: “Surface melt on Greenland Ice Sheet back near average in 2013.”
http://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/2013-arctic-report-card-surface-melt-greenland-ice-sheet-back-near

NOAA Greenland melt back to average in 2013
NOAA: Greenland melt back near average in 2013

 
Anyway, what’s interesting is that we are witnessing a reversal of the warming trend. This was expected by “climate skeptic” scientists, who’ve been arguing for years that cooling and warming follow the variations of solar activity, not the emissions of CO2.

As solar radiation has been declining lately, it is not surprising that world temperature should be declining as well. Never mind the ritual IPCC flapdoodle* – political gesticulation meant to scare us into accepting carbon taxes and subsidies to the wind farm scam. Politicians won’t give up dishing out money to the wind industry, as part of it is returned to finance their electoral campaigns. They LOVE that “green” revolving door.

* flapdoodle: nonsense. Originally, “the stuff they feed fools on”, 1833.

In fact, we are half-way into solar cycle 24 (the sun’s activity follows cyclical patterns, the shortest lasting 10-13-year). Solar cycle 24 happens to be the weakest in 100 years. We are presently near or past its peak, and from the graph below you can see how low it is in comparison to the previous cycle.

Solar cycle 24 to Feb 2014
NOAA: Solar cycle 24 is peaking much lower than the previous one

 
As we pass the peak, more cooling is to be expected. If solar cycle 25 is weaker still than # 24, temperatures could drop to the level of the Little Ice Age, a cold period from 1550 to 1850, which saw the Thames frozen solid, and crops rotting in the fields from too much rain. This prompted many Europeans to emigrate to America. In France, which was Europe’s grain basket, starving Parisians took to the streets asking for bread. Soon they developed a fancy for the guillotine, and executed their rulers. This begs the question: will history repeat itself?

If a “little ice age” would happen now, with 7 billion people on earth plus 75 million added every year, skyrocketing food prices and mass starvation would ensue. Yet, foolishly, our governments keep wasting money on ineffective wind turbines to cool (sic) the climate. Perhaps they do deserve the guillotine after all?

 

This article is also published here: http://www.principia-scientific.org/the-global-warming-flapdoodle-and-the-global-cooling-evidence.html

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